- The 2014 severely adverse scenario with conditions similar to the Great Recession
- Macro economic stress scenario: US came very close to a government default
- Less understanding of how banks will manage their capital during the next economic boom
- Booms encourage banks to chase volumes and revenues
- High credit losses are observed when a severe recession follows on a surging economy
The Real Stress Scenario Will be the next Boom
Original by Moody’s analytics, 2013, 2 pages
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